Player Spotlight·August 29, 2026

Player spotlight: Rory McIlroy model edges

PropGolf's model edges for Rory McIlroy at TOUR Championship: hole-by-hole birdie probabilities from this week's sim. Top 6 highest-conviction picks.

PropGolf's sim engine has Rory McIlroy running through TOUR Championship this week. Below are this player's top 6 highest-probability birdie picks across all rounds the model has scored so far.

Want the same numbers for a different player, or under different conditions? The scenario engine re-simulates a full round with the figures below as knobs you can drag. Open the scenario engine, free and no account needed.

Top hole-by-hole edges

HoleParModel birdie%Sim odds
6563.3%-172
18562.1%-164
8445.5%+119
10439.7%+151
12438.8%+157
3433.7%+196

For the live picture, full hole-by-hole sim probabilities, multi-book odds comparison, and live timing, see the Rory McIlroy profile on PropGolf.


Auto-generated from PropGolf's sim_hole_score table.


PropGolf models every hole from shot-level tracking data. Try it on any player or hole with the scenario engine, free and no account needed.

For live hole-by-hole prices during a tournament, see the live board.

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