PGA Tour · 2026

Bank of Utah Championship

Oct 1 – Oct 4, 2026 · Black Desert Resort · Ivins, UT, USA

Won by Austin Smotherman

The Bank of Utah Championship has been played at Black Desert Resort 3 times since the 2024 season, and the field has averaged 2.03 under par per round there. Winning totals have ranged from 22 under par to 26 under par. Austin Smotherman won the 2026 edition at 26 under par.

The par-5 18th gives up the most birdies (a 60.7% birdie rate), and the par-4 11th is the hardest hole, with a 20.8% bogey rate. Of this week's field, Michael Brennan has the best record here: 2.80 strokes per round better than the field over 8 rounds, including a win.

During the tournament PropGolf models every hole for every player live, with birdie, par and bogey probabilities beside the sportsbook lines and an ETA for each group, plus tee, approach and putting breakdowns from shot tracking at Black Desert Resort.

Tournament recap

Round 4 at Black Desert Resort — How We Did
-0.3% return on the round

Down 0.06u using our recommended stake sizes (22.1u risked across 820 picks, 285 winners at 34.8% hit).

The big winners

🟢 Drive Result — Fairway Under (320.5) Yards — bet 18 times. 11 winners (61.1% vs 52.6% expected, odds around 1 to 1). +68.7% return (+0.48u on recommended stakes)

🟢 Birdies — bet 267 times. 62 winners (23.2% vs 27.0% expected, odds around 5 to 1). +10.1% return (+0.48u on recommended stakes)

🟢 Pars — bet 104 times. 37 winners (35.6% vs 42.6% expected, odds around 2 to 1). +6.5% return (+0.17u on recommended stakes)

What hurt us

🔴 Drive Result — Fairway Under (335.5) Yards — bet 5 times. 0 winners (0.0% vs 60.9% expected, odds around 1 to 1). -100.0% return (-0.41u on recommended stakes)

🔴 Tee Shot Distance — Under — bet 12 times. 4 winners (33.3% vs 64.8% expected, odds around 1 to 1). -37.0% return (-0.29u on recommended stakes)

🔴 Miss the Green picks — bet 146 times. 24 winners (16.4% vs 22.4% expected, odds around 5 to 1). -13.3% return (-0.20u on recommended stakes)

Hole highlights
Best holes for us
  • Hole 16 (par 4) — 21% of the field bogeyed it, 10% birdied it, avg score +0.13 vs par → +50.0% return (+0.32u)
  • Hole 2 (par 4) — 7% of the field bogeyed it, 23% birdied it, avg score -0.11 vs par → +16.3% return (+0.28u)
  • Hole 9 (par 5) — 4% of the field bogeyed it, 36% birdied it, avg score -0.33 vs par → +4.9% return (+0.14u)
Worst holes for us
  • Hole 14 (par 4) — 9% of the field bogeyed it, 67% birdied it, avg score -0.64 vs par → -13.5% return (-0.35u)
  • Hole 12 (par 4) — 4% of the field bogeyed it, 14% birdied it, avg score -0.10 vs par → -100.0% return (-0.23u)
  • Hole 13 (par 4) — 21% of the field bogeyed it, 7% birdied it, avg score +0.17 vs par → -24.8% return (-0.23u)
The Confidence filter

Here's how the Confidence tiers settled this round:

TierPicksHit rateReturn
🟢 CONSENSUS36829.9%-2.7%
🟡 LEAN23434.2%-2.9%
Names of note
  • ✅ Horschel, Billy — 9/20 picks landed. +87.5% return (+0.33u)
  • ✅ Bauchou, Zach — 9/20 picks landed. +63.1% return (+0.31u)
  • ✅ Bezuidenhout, Christiaan — 8/16 picks landed. +56.5% return (+0.30u)
  • ❌ Sargent, Gordon — 4/18 picks landed. -66.8% return (-0.32u)
  • ❌ Kohles, Ben — 2/16 picks landed. -71.0% return (-0.24u)
  • ❌ Ghim, Doug — 1/13 picks landed. -77.0% return (-0.22u)
Takeaways from this event
  • If the Confidence filter held up here, it's worth leaning on at the next event.
  • The markets that worked here usually carry into similar courses + conditions.
  • The markets that lost may rebound at venues where the course plays differently.

See the Signals page for live picks and use the Confidence filter to focus on the picks the model is steady on.

Compiled from shot-level scoring captured during play.

Final leaderboard

Top 10 at the 2026 Bank of Utah Championship, by total score to par.

PosPlayerTo par
1Austin Smotherman-26
2Doug Ghim-24
T3Trace Crowe-23
T3David Ford-23
T5Kevin Streelman-22
T5Ben James-22
T7Steven Fisk-21
T7Luke Clanton-21
9Kihei Akina-20
T10Rico Hoey-19

Past winners

Every edition PropGolf has on record, by PGA Tour season, with the winning total and the field's average score per round. Where two or more players tied after regulation and the record does not say who took the playoff, all of them are listed.

SeasonWinnerTotalField / rd
2026Austin Smotherman-26-2.96
2025Michael Brennan-22-1.19
2024Matt McCarty-23-1.94

Best records here in this week's field

Strokes gained per round against the field across 3 editions. Minimum 8 rounds. Best is the best finish; T1 is a tie after regulation decided in a playoff.

PlayerStartsBestSG / rd
Michael Brennan2Won+2.80
David Ford2T3+2.67
Rico Hoey32+2.13
Matt McCarty3Won+2.04
Stephan Jaeger32+2.04
Billy Horschel2T11+1.80
Max Homa2T9+1.67
Max McGreevy3T11+1.63
Justin Lower3T3+1.57
Kevin Streelman3T3+1.51

Course at a glance

Black Desert Resort historical scoring context, drawn from prior years of PGA Tour rounds at this venue.

Par
71
Yards
7,275
Birdie rate
24.8%
Bogey rate
12.2%
Par 3s: 4 · Par 4s: 11 · Par 5s: 3
Easiest hole (highest birdie rate): Hole 18 (Par 5)
Hardest hole (highest bogey rate): Hole 11 (Par 4)

Hole-by-hole

HoleParYardsBirdie %Bogey %Difficulty
1448514.7%18.9%NEUTRAL
2439715.9%15.4%NEUTRAL
3318517.7%15.2%NEUTRAL
4448316.9%16.6%NEUTRAL
5431533.5%7.8%EASY
6444017.4%14.2%NEUTRAL
7558849.2%6.9%EASY
8314319.2%9.1%NEUTRAL
9559337.5%9.5%EASY
10442423.9%8.5%NEUTRAL
1145288.5%20.8%HARD
12445015.0%10.9%NEUTRAL
13451015.2%18.8%HARD
14431554.3%3.9%EASY
15319414.4%12.6%NEUTRAL
16450013.3%15.5%NEUTRAL
17314519.6%8.4%NEUTRAL
18558060.7%6.7%EASY

Historical rates aggregate prior PGA Tour rounds at this venue. Live current-event rates appear inside the app during play.

From the blog

PropGolf's Bank of Utah Championship analysis

Watching with PropGolf

What you can do during Bank of Utah Championship

  • Live signals. Hole-by-hole birdie, bogey, and matchup edges with live odds from DraftKings and FanDuel.
  • Shot-level analytics. Tee, approach, and putting breakdowns per player on every hole.
  • Group view. H2H matchups, longest drive, nearest the pin, group total markets.
  • Live timing. Per-group ETAs update every 5 minutes from real pace data.