Analysis·October 2, 2026

Alfred Dunhill Links Championship 2026: the leaderboard adjusted for the course rotation

After 36 holes, every player has seen a different mix of Kingsbarns, Carnoustie and the Old Course. Kingsbarns has played 1.2 strokes easier than Carnoustie and the Old Course. Here is who is really ahead.

The Alfred Dunhill Links Championship sends the field around three links in the first three rounds: Kingsbarns, Carnoustie and the Old Course at St Andrews. After round 2, every player has seen two of them, but not the same two, and they have not played alike. The field has averaged -2.41 to par per round at Kingsbarns, against -1.26 at Carnoustie and -1.19 at the Old Course. The leaderboard adds those rounds up as if they were the same test. Casey Jarvis leads the board, but once each round is scored against its own course, Matthew Jordan, Casey Jarvis and MJ Daffue are effectively level.

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How the three courses have played

Field average to par per round, by course and day:

CourseRound 1Round 2Average
Kingsbarns-1.62-3.20-2.41
Carnoustie-0.75-1.76-1.26
Old Course-0.95-1.43-1.19

Two under par at Carnoustie or the Old Course is roughly 1.2 strokes better golf than two under at Kingsbarns.

The leaderboard, adjusted

Each round below is scored against the players who played the same course on the same day, which takes out both the course and that day's weather. The adjusted figure is strokes better than that field, added up over two rounds.

AdjustedPlayerStrokes vs fieldLeaderboardPlayedStill to play
1Matthew Jordan+7.3T2 (-10)Old Course + CarnoustieKingsbarns
2Casey Jarvis+7.11 (-11)Carnoustie + KingsbarnsOld Course
3MJ Daffue+6.9T2 (-10)Kingsbarns + Old CourseCarnoustie
4Ivan Cantero+6.3T5 (-9)Old Course + CarnoustieKingsbarns
5Rocco Repetto Taylor+6.1T2 (-10)Carnoustie + KingsbarnsOld Course
6Sam Bairstow+5.9T5 (-9)Kingsbarns + Old CourseCarnoustie
T7Ollie Schniederjans+5.1T5 (-9)Carnoustie + KingsbarnsOld Course
T7Niklas Nørgaard+5.1T5 (-9)Carnoustie + KingsbarnsOld Course
T9Sebastian Söderberg+4.3T17 (-7)Old Course + CarnoustieKingsbarns
T9JC Ritchie+4.3T17 (-7)Old Course + CarnoustieKingsbarns
T9Adrian Meronk+4.3T17 (-7)Old Course + CarnoustieKingsbarns
T9Andreas Halvorsen+4.3T17 (-7)Old Course + CarnoustieKingsbarns
T9Marcus Armitage+4.3T17 (-7)Old Course + CarnoustieKingsbarns
T9Hennie du Plessis+4.3T17 (-7)Old Course + CarnoustieKingsbarns
T15Thomas Detry+4.1T9 (-8)Carnoustie + KingsbarnsOld Course

Three draws, three leaderboards

The field plays the rotation in three orders, and everyone in the same order has had the same courses on the same days. The draws have not been equally kind:

Draw so farField to par over those roundsHead startStill to playBest placed (adjusted rank)
Carnoustie, then Kingsbarns-3.95+1.2Old CourseCasey Jarvis (2), Rocco Repetto Taylor (5) and Ollie Schniederjans (T7)
Kingsbarns, then Old Course-3.05+0.3CarnoustieMJ Daffue (3), Sam Bairstow (6) and Brandon Stone (T23)
Old Course, then Carnoustie-2.71+0.0KingsbarnsMatthew Jordan (1), Ivan Cantero (4) and Sebastian Söderberg (T9)

The head start is how many strokes easier the draw has played than the toughest one, added up over the two rounds. A player seven under after Carnoustie and then Kingsbarns has played about as well as one six under after the Old Course and then Carnoustie.

Round 3

Round 3 completes the rotation, and it decides the 54-hole cut. Of the adjusted top 20, 8 still have Kingsbarns to play, the course that has played easiest: Matthew Jordan, Ivan Cantero, Sebastian Söderberg, JC Ritchie, Adrian Meronk, Andreas Halvorsen, Marcus Armitage and Hennie du Plessis. The other 12 finish the rotation at Carnoustie or the Old Course, which have played almost identically. Expect the first group to climb the board on Saturday without necessarily playing better golf.

How this is calculated

Every round is compared with the average score of the players on the same course that day, roughly 56 players per course per round. That removes the course and the weather, but the field average still carries some noise: with about 56 players, the course-day average is uncertain by about half a stroke, so small gaps in the table are not meaningful. Scores come from the official hole-by-hole scoring. Only players with every round complete are ranked.


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