U.S. Open
Jun 18 – Jun 21, 2026 · Shinnecock Hills Golf Club · Southampton, NY, USA
Won by Wyndham Clark
The U.S. Open has been played at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club 2 times since the 2018 season, and the field has averaged 3.67 over par per round there. Winning totals have ranged from 1 over par to 4 under par. Wyndham Clark won the 2026 edition at 4 under par.
The par-5 5th gives up the most birdies (a 35.0% birdie rate), and the par-4 3rd is the hardest hole, with a 42.0% bogey rate. Of this week's field, Tommy Fleetwood has the best record here: 3.01 strokes per round better than the field over 8 rounds, best finish 2.
During the tournament PropGolf models every hole for every player live, with birdie, par and bogey probabilities beside the sportsbook lines and an ETA for each group, plus tee, approach and putting breakdowns from shot tracking at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club.
Tournament recap
Down 0.12u using our recommended stake sizes (41.2u risked across 1,521 picks, 495 winners at 32.5% hit).
🟢 Pars — bet 320 times. 192 winners (60.0% vs 65.2% expected, odds around 1 to 1). +7.5% return (+1.01u on recommended stakes)
🟢 Group Combined Hole Score — -2 or Better — bet 9 times. 5 winners (55.6% vs 29.9% expected, odds around 5 to 1). +210.6% return (+0.38u on recommended stakes)
🟢 No One Hits the Green (par 3) picks — bet 36 times. 8 winners (22.2% vs 31.0% expected, odds around 4 to 1). +31.6% return (+0.27u on recommended stakes)
🔴 Birdies — bet 439 times. 49 winners (11.2% vs 18.1% expected, odds around 8 to 1). -18.7% return (-1.18u on recommended stakes)
🔴 Group-Combined Birdies picks — bet 145 times. 22 winners (15.2% vs 24.7% expected, odds around 6 to 1). -19.0% return (-0.60u on recommended stakes)
🔴 Miss the Green picks — bet 163 times. 56 winners (34.4% vs 42.2% expected, odds around 2 to 1). -11.0% return (-0.48u on recommended stakes)
- Hole 5 (par 5) — 6% of the field bogeyed it, 51% birdied it, avg score -0.47 vs par → +82.5% return (+1.50u)
- Hole 7 (par 3) — 18% of the field bogeyed it, 10% birdied it, avg score +0.10 vs par → +23.7% return (+1.12u)
- Hole 18 (par 4) — 29% of the field bogeyed it, 11% birdied it, avg score +0.18 vs par → +52.0% return (+0.92u)
- Hole 9 (par 4) — 18% of the field bogeyed it, 3% birdied it, avg score +0.15 vs par → -73.6% return (-1.81u)
- Hole 3 (par 4) — 57% of the field bogeyed it, 1% birdied it, avg score +0.57 vs par → -59.0% return (-0.81u)
- Hole 1 (par 4) — 29% of the field bogeyed it, 4% birdied it, avg score +0.29 vs par → -37.3% return (-0.50u)
Here's how the Confidence tiers settled this round:
| Tier | Picks | Hit rate | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🟢 CONSENSUS | 1,235 | 31.8% | -5.9% |
| 🟡 LEAN | 789 | 34.9% | -9.9% |
- ✅ Higgs, Harry — 11/28 picks landed. +62.9% return (+0.42u)
- ✅ Harman, Brian — 10/20 picks landed. +70.3% return (+0.39u)
- ✅ Gotterup, Chris — 8/9 picks landed. +59.7% return (+0.29u)
- ❌ Parry, John — 5/29 picks landed. -55.6% return (-0.35u)
- ❌ Scheffler, Scottie — 5/21 picks landed. -58.5% return (-0.33u)
- ❌ Aberg, Ludvig — 5/27 picks landed. -47.2% return (-0.30u)
- If the Confidence filter held up here, it's worth using again.
- The markets that worked today usually carry into similar conditions.
- The markets that lost today may rebound if the course firms up or the field changes.
See the Signals page for live picks and use the Confidence filter to focus on the picks the model is steady on.
Compiled from shot-level scoring captured during play.
Final leaderboard
Top 10 at the 2026 U.S. Open, by total score to par.
| Pos | Player | To par |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wyndham Clark | -4 |
| 2 | Sam Burns | -3 |
| 3 | Tom Kim | -1 |
| T4 | Scottie Scheffler | E |
| T4 | J.T. Poston | E |
| T4 | Keith Mitchell | E |
| T7 | Gary Woodland | +1 |
| T7 | Sam Stevens | +1 |
| T7 | Joaquin Niemann | +1 |
| T7 | Tyrrell Hatton | +1 |
Past winners
Every edition PropGolf has on record, by PGA Tour season, with the winning total and the field's average score per round. Where two or more players tied after regulation and the record does not say who took the playoff, all of them are listed.
| Season | Winner | Total | Field / rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Wyndham Clark | -4 | +2.68 |
| 2025 | J.J. Spaun at Oakmont Country Club | -1 | +4.18 |
| 2024 | Bryson DeChambeau at Pinehurst Resort & Country Club (Course No. 2) | -6 | +2.89 |
| 2023 | Wyndham Clark at another course | -10 | +1.78 |
| 2022 | Matt Fitzpatrick at another course | -6 | +2.51 |
| 2020 | Bryson DeChambeau at another course | -6 | +4.00 |
| 2019 | Gary Woodland at another course | -13 | +1.35 |
| 2018 | Brooks Koepka | +1 | +4.65 |
| 2017 | Brooks Koepka at another course | -16 | +1.20 |
| 2016 | Dustin Johnson at Oakmont Country Club | -4 | +3.56 |
Best records here in this week's field
Strokes gained per round against the field across 2 editions. Minimum 8 rounds. Best is the best finish; T1 is a tie after regulation decided in a playoff.
| Player | Starts | Best | SG / rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Fleetwood | 2 | 2 | +3.01 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 2 | T6 | +2.64 |
| Xander Schauffele | 2 | T6 | +2.51 |
| Dustin Johnson | 2 | 3 | +2.39 |
| Justin Rose | 2 | T10 | +2.39 |
| Sam Burns | 2 | 2 | +2.14 |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 2 | T12 | +2.01 |
| Gary Woodland | 2 | T7 | +1.76 |
| Justin Thomas | 2 | T17 | +1.64 |
| Ryan Fox | 2 | T23 | +1.14 |
Course at a glance
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club historical scoring context, drawn from prior years of PGA Tour rounds at this venue.
Hole-by-hole
| Hole | Par | Yards | Birdie % | Bogey % | Difficulty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 0 | 10.8% | 18.6% | NEUTRAL |
| 2 | 3 | 0 | 4.5% | 41.3% | HARD |
| 3 | 4 | 0 | 4.2% | 42.0% | HARD |
| 4 | 4 | 0 | 13.0% | 18.8% | NEUTRAL |
| 5 | 5 | 0 | 35.0% | 10.1% | EASY |
| 6 | 4 | 0 | 7.8% | 30.7% | HARD |
| 7 | 3 | 0 | 7.4% | 28.3% | HARD |
| 8 | 4 | 0 | 9.6% | 23.8% | HARD |
| 9 | 4 | 0 | 7.2% | 27.4% | HARD |
| 10 | 4 | 0 | 11.9% | 26.9% | HARD |
| 11 | 3 | 0 | 8.1% | 28.0% | HARD |
| 12 | 4 | 0 | 10.1% | 27.6% | HARD |
| 13 | 4 | 0 | 11.7% | 23.8% | HARD |
| 14 | 4 | 0 | 4.7% | 35.2% | HARD |
| 15 | 4 | 0 | 12.6% | 24.2% | HARD |
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 20.4% | 14.3% | NEUTRAL |
| 17 | 3 | 0 | 6.7% | 22.0% | HARD |
| 18 | 4 | 0 | 7.6% | 28.5% | HARD |
Historical rates aggregate prior PGA Tour rounds at this venue. Live current-event rates appear inside the app during play.
What you can do during U.S. Open
- Live signals. Hole-by-hole birdie, bogey, and matchup edges with live odds from DraftKings and FanDuel.
- Shot-level analytics. Tee, approach, and putting breakdowns per player on every hole.
- Group view. H2H matchups, longest drive, nearest the pin, group total markets.
- Live timing. Per-group ETAs update every 5 minutes from real pace data.