PGA Tour · 2026

Rocket Classic

Jul 30 – Aug 2, 2026 · Detroit Golf Club · Detroit, MI, USA

Won by Michael Thorbjornsen

The Rocket Classic has been played at Detroit Golf Club 7 times since the 2019 season, and the field has averaged 1.83 under par per round there. Winning totals have ranged from 18 under par to 26 under par. Aldrich Potgieter won the 2025 edition at 22 under par in a playoff.

The par-5 17th gives up the most birdies (a 49.0% birdie rate), and the par-3 11th is the hardest hole, with a 22.1% bogey rate. Of this week's field, Taylor Moore has the best record here: 2.29 strokes per round better than the field over 14 rounds, best finish T4.

During the tournament PropGolf models every hole for every player live, with birdie, par and bogey probabilities beside the sportsbook lines and an ETA for each group, plus tee, approach and putting breakdowns from shot tracking at Detroit Golf Club.

Tournament recap

Round 4 at Detroit Golf Club — How We Did
+5.1% return on the round ✓

Up 1.44u using our recommended stake sizes (28.1u risked across 789 picks, 346 winners at 43.9% hit).

The big winners

🟢 Miss the Green picks — bet 87 times. 33 winners (37.9% vs 30.3% expected, odds around 4 to 1). +62.3% return (+0.99u on recommended stakes)

🟢 Birdies — bet 100 times. 19 winners (19.0% vs 19.8% expected, odds around 8 to 1). +21.6% return (+0.26u on recommended stakes)

🟢 James, Ben long-shot — bet 3 times. 3 winners (100.0% vs 34.6% expected, odds around 3 to 1). +256.7% return (+0.17u on recommended stakes)

What hurt us

🔴 Pars — bet 340 times. 209 winners (61.5% vs 69.1% expected, odds around 1 to 1). -0.8% return (-0.14u on recommended stakes)

🔴 Drive Result — Fairway Over (285.5) Yards — bet 9 times. 3 winners (33.3% vs 44.4% expected, odds around 2 to 1). -40.6% return (-0.10u on recommended stakes)

🔴 Find-the-Bunker (par 3) picks — bet 27 times. 0 winners (0.0% vs 7.8% expected, odds around 16 to 1). -100.0% return (-0.08u on recommended stakes)

Hole highlights
Best holes for us
  • Hole 14 (par 5) — 7% of the field bogeyed it, 42% birdied it, avg score -0.38 vs par → +59.7% return (+0.98u)
  • Hole 12 (par 4) — 19% of the field bogeyed it, 11% birdied it, avg score +0.11 vs par → +19.3% return (+0.33u)
  • Hole 16 (par 4) — 21% of the field bogeyed it, 7% birdied it, avg score +0.16 vs par → +43.9% return (+0.33u)
Worst holes for us
  • Hole 7 (par 4) — 37% of the field bogeyed it, 5% birdied it, avg score +0.38 vs par → -10.0% return (-0.41u)
  • Hole 18 (par 4) — 42% of the field bogeyed it, 8% birdied it, avg score +0.37 vs par → -9.3% return (-0.30u)
  • Hole 4 (par 5) — 8% of the field bogeyed it, 36% birdied it, avg score -0.27 vs par → -10.7% return (-0.30u)
The Confidence filter

Here's how the Confidence tiers settled this round:

TierPicksHit rateReturn
🟢 CONSENSUS29648.3%+8.6%
🟡 LEAN20346.8%-6.4%

Consensus picks are paying off. Flip the 'Consensus only' filter on the Signals page to focus on what's working.

Names of note
  • ✅ Hojgaard, Nicolai — 13/26 picks landed. +86.1% return (+0.71u)
  • ✅ Henley, Russell — 10/19 picks landed. +88.9% return (+0.37u)
  • ✅ English, Harris — 13/26 picks landed. +37.8% return (+0.31u)
  • ❌ Young, Cameron — 1/15 picks landed. -83.7% return (-0.26u)
  • ❌ Lipsky, David — 2/12 picks landed. -63.5% return (-0.25u)
  • ❌ Eckroat, Austin — 3/8 picks landed. -45.8% return (-0.24u)
Takeaways from this event
  • If the Confidence filter held up here, it's worth leaning on at the next event.
  • The markets that worked here usually carry into similar courses + conditions.
  • The markets that lost may rebound at venues where the course plays differently.

See the Signals page for live picks and use the Confidence filter to focus on the picks the model is steady on.

Compiled from shot-level scoring captured during play.

Final leaderboard

Top 10 at the 2026 Rocket Classic, by total score to par.

PosPlayerTo par
1Michael Thorbjornsen-18
2Xander Schauffele-16
3Davis Riley-15
4Rasmus Hojgaard-14
T5Hideki Matsuyama-13
T5Matt Wallace-13
T5Kristoffer Ventura-13
T8Chris Kirk-12
T8Rickie Fowler-12
T8Patrick Cantlay-12

Past winners

Every edition PropGolf has on record, by PGA Tour season, with the winning total and the field's average score per round. Where two or more players tied after regulation and the record does not say who took the playoff, all of them are listed.

SeasonWinnerTotalField / rd
2026Michael Thorbjornsen
at another course
-18-0.80
2025Aldrich Potgieter · playoff-22-2.41
2024Cam Davis-18-1.46
2023Playoff: Rickie Fowler / Collin Morikawa / Adam Hadwin-24-2.08
2022Tony Finau-26-1.60
2021Playoff: Joaquin Niemann / Troy Merritt / Cam Davis-18-1.45
2020Bryson DeChambeau-23-1.95
2019Nate Lashley-25-1.89

Best records here in this week's field

Strokes gained per round against the field across 7 editions. Minimum 8 rounds. Best is the best finish; T1 is a tie after regulation decided in a playoff.

PlayerStartsBestSG / rd
Taylor Moore4T4+2.29
Patrick Cantlay2T2+2.29
Cameron Young3T2+2.06
Max Greyserman2T2+2.01
Jake Knapp2T4+1.88
Chris Kirk6T2+1.78
Tony Finau3Won+1.69
Taylor Pendrith3T2+1.53
Akshay Bhatia3T2+1.52
J.J. Spaun6T8+1.52

Course at a glance

Detroit Golf Club historical scoring context, drawn from prior years of PGA Tour rounds at this venue.

Par
71
Yards
6,777
Birdie rate
21.4%
Bogey rate
12.4%
Par 3s: 4 · Par 4s: 11 · Par 5s: 3
Easiest hole (highest birdie rate): Hole 17 (Par 5)
Hardest hole (highest bogey rate): Hole 11 (Par 3)

Hole-by-hole

HoleParYardsBirdie %Bogey %Difficulty
1439223.9%8.1%EASY
2445117.0%12.6%NEUTRAL
3439226.5%6.7%EASY
4562432.7%7.1%EASY
5315919.8%9.4%NEUTRAL
6446810.4%20.6%NEUTRAL
74————
8437121.5%11.8%NEUTRAL
9320111.9%17.6%NEUTRAL
10442523.5%9.8%NEUTRAL
1132238.7%22.1%NEUTRAL
12448211.5%18.5%NEUTRAL
13439220.6%12.6%NEUTRAL
14556341.9%7.8%EASY
15315018.5%10.9%NEUTRAL
16445213.6%13.7%NEUTRAL
17557449.0%3.6%EASY
18445813.6%17.7%NEUTRAL

Historical rates aggregate prior PGA Tour rounds at this venue. Live current-event rates appear inside the app during play.

Watching with PropGolf

What you can do during Rocket Classic

  • Live signals. Hole-by-hole birdie, bogey, and matchup edges with live odds from DraftKings and FanDuel.
  • Shot-level analytics. Tee, approach, and putting breakdowns per player on every hole.
  • Group view. H2H matchups, longest drive, nearest the pin, group total markets.
  • Live timing. Per-group ETAs update every 5 minutes from real pace data.