Rocket Classic
Jul 30 – Aug 2, 2026 · Detroit Golf Club · Detroit, MI, USA
Won by Michael Thorbjornsen
The Rocket Classic has been played at Detroit Golf Club 7 times since the 2019 season, and the field has averaged 1.83 under par per round there. Winning totals have ranged from 18 under par to 26 under par. Aldrich Potgieter won the 2025 edition at 22 under par in a playoff.
The par-5 17th gives up the most birdies (a 49.0% birdie rate), and the par-3 11th is the hardest hole, with a 22.1% bogey rate. Of this week's field, Taylor Moore has the best record here: 2.29 strokes per round better than the field over 14 rounds, best finish T4.
During the tournament PropGolf models every hole for every player live, with birdie, par and bogey probabilities beside the sportsbook lines and an ETA for each group, plus tee, approach and putting breakdowns from shot tracking at Detroit Golf Club.
Tournament recap
Up 1.44u using our recommended stake sizes (28.1u risked across 789 picks, 346 winners at 43.9% hit).
🟢 Miss the Green picks — bet 87 times. 33 winners (37.9% vs 30.3% expected, odds around 4 to 1). +62.3% return (+0.99u on recommended stakes)
🟢 Birdies — bet 100 times. 19 winners (19.0% vs 19.8% expected, odds around 8 to 1). +21.6% return (+0.26u on recommended stakes)
🟢 James, Ben long-shot — bet 3 times. 3 winners (100.0% vs 34.6% expected, odds around 3 to 1). +256.7% return (+0.17u on recommended stakes)
🔴 Pars — bet 340 times. 209 winners (61.5% vs 69.1% expected, odds around 1 to 1). -0.8% return (-0.14u on recommended stakes)
🔴 Drive Result — Fairway Over (285.5) Yards — bet 9 times. 3 winners (33.3% vs 44.4% expected, odds around 2 to 1). -40.6% return (-0.10u on recommended stakes)
🔴 Find-the-Bunker (par 3) picks — bet 27 times. 0 winners (0.0% vs 7.8% expected, odds around 16 to 1). -100.0% return (-0.08u on recommended stakes)
- Hole 14 (par 5) — 7% of the field bogeyed it, 42% birdied it, avg score -0.38 vs par → +59.7% return (+0.98u)
- Hole 12 (par 4) — 19% of the field bogeyed it, 11% birdied it, avg score +0.11 vs par → +19.3% return (+0.33u)
- Hole 16 (par 4) — 21% of the field bogeyed it, 7% birdied it, avg score +0.16 vs par → +43.9% return (+0.33u)
- Hole 7 (par 4) — 37% of the field bogeyed it, 5% birdied it, avg score +0.38 vs par → -10.0% return (-0.41u)
- Hole 18 (par 4) — 42% of the field bogeyed it, 8% birdied it, avg score +0.37 vs par → -9.3% return (-0.30u)
- Hole 4 (par 5) — 8% of the field bogeyed it, 36% birdied it, avg score -0.27 vs par → -10.7% return (-0.30u)
Here's how the Confidence tiers settled this round:
| Tier | Picks | Hit rate | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🟢 CONSENSUS | 296 | 48.3% | +8.6% |
| 🟡 LEAN | 203 | 46.8% | -6.4% |
Consensus picks are paying off. Flip the 'Consensus only' filter on the Signals page to focus on what's working.
- ✅ Hojgaard, Nicolai — 13/26 picks landed. +86.1% return (+0.71u)
- ✅ Henley, Russell — 10/19 picks landed. +88.9% return (+0.37u)
- ✅ English, Harris — 13/26 picks landed. +37.8% return (+0.31u)
- ❌ Young, Cameron — 1/15 picks landed. -83.7% return (-0.26u)
- ❌ Lipsky, David — 2/12 picks landed. -63.5% return (-0.25u)
- ❌ Eckroat, Austin — 3/8 picks landed. -45.8% return (-0.24u)
- If the Confidence filter held up here, it's worth leaning on at the next event.
- The markets that worked here usually carry into similar courses + conditions.
- The markets that lost may rebound at venues where the course plays differently.
See the Signals page for live picks and use the Confidence filter to focus on the picks the model is steady on.
Compiled from shot-level scoring captured during play.
Final leaderboard
Top 10 at the 2026 Rocket Classic, by total score to par.
| Pos | Player | To par |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Thorbjornsen | -18 |
| 2 | Xander Schauffele | -16 |
| 3 | Davis Riley | -15 |
| 4 | Rasmus Hojgaard | -14 |
| T5 | Hideki Matsuyama | -13 |
| T5 | Matt Wallace | -13 |
| T5 | Kristoffer Ventura | -13 |
| T8 | Chris Kirk | -12 |
| T8 | Rickie Fowler | -12 |
| T8 | Patrick Cantlay | -12 |
Past winners
Every edition PropGolf has on record, by PGA Tour season, with the winning total and the field's average score per round. Where two or more players tied after regulation and the record does not say who took the playoff, all of them are listed.
| Season | Winner | Total | Field / rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Michael Thorbjornsen at another course | -18 | -0.80 |
| 2025 | Aldrich Potgieter · playoff | -22 | -2.41 |
| 2024 | Cam Davis | -18 | -1.46 |
| 2023 | Playoff: Rickie Fowler / Collin Morikawa / Adam Hadwin | -24 | -2.08 |
| 2022 | Tony Finau | -26 | -1.60 |
| 2021 | Playoff: Joaquin Niemann / Troy Merritt / Cam Davis | -18 | -1.45 |
| 2020 | Bryson DeChambeau | -23 | -1.95 |
| 2019 | Nate Lashley | -25 | -1.89 |
Best records here in this week's field
Strokes gained per round against the field across 7 editions. Minimum 8 rounds. Best is the best finish; T1 is a tie after regulation decided in a playoff.
| Player | Starts | Best | SG / rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Moore | 4 | T4 | +2.29 |
| Patrick Cantlay | 2 | T2 | +2.29 |
| Cameron Young | 3 | T2 | +2.06 |
| Max Greyserman | 2 | T2 | +2.01 |
| Jake Knapp | 2 | T4 | +1.88 |
| Chris Kirk | 6 | T2 | +1.78 |
| Tony Finau | 3 | Won | +1.69 |
| Taylor Pendrith | 3 | T2 | +1.53 |
| Akshay Bhatia | 3 | T2 | +1.52 |
| J.J. Spaun | 6 | T8 | +1.52 |
Course at a glance
Detroit Golf Club historical scoring context, drawn from prior years of PGA Tour rounds at this venue.
Hole-by-hole
| Hole | Par | Yards | Birdie % | Bogey % | Difficulty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 392 | 23.9% | 8.1% | EASY |
| 2 | 4 | 451 | 17.0% | 12.6% | NEUTRAL |
| 3 | 4 | 392 | 26.5% | 6.7% | EASY |
| 4 | 5 | 624 | 32.7% | 7.1% | EASY |
| 5 | 3 | 159 | 19.8% | 9.4% | NEUTRAL |
| 6 | 4 | 468 | 10.4% | 20.6% | NEUTRAL |
| 7 | 4 | — | — | — | — |
| 8 | 4 | 371 | 21.5% | 11.8% | NEUTRAL |
| 9 | 3 | 201 | 11.9% | 17.6% | NEUTRAL |
| 10 | 4 | 425 | 23.5% | 9.8% | NEUTRAL |
| 11 | 3 | 223 | 8.7% | 22.1% | NEUTRAL |
| 12 | 4 | 482 | 11.5% | 18.5% | NEUTRAL |
| 13 | 4 | 392 | 20.6% | 12.6% | NEUTRAL |
| 14 | 5 | 563 | 41.9% | 7.8% | EASY |
| 15 | 3 | 150 | 18.5% | 10.9% | NEUTRAL |
| 16 | 4 | 452 | 13.6% | 13.7% | NEUTRAL |
| 17 | 5 | 574 | 49.0% | 3.6% | EASY |
| 18 | 4 | 458 | 13.6% | 17.7% | NEUTRAL |
Historical rates aggregate prior PGA Tour rounds at this venue. Live current-event rates appear inside the app during play.
What you can do during Rocket Classic
- Live signals. Hole-by-hole birdie, bogey, and matchup edges with live odds from DraftKings and FanDuel.
- Shot-level analytics. Tee, approach, and putting breakdowns per player on every hole.
- Group view. H2H matchups, longest drive, nearest the pin, group total markets.
- Live timing. Per-group ETAs update every 5 minutes from real pace data.