RBC Canadian Open

Up 0.44u using our recommended stake sizes (6.0u risked across 334 picks, 82 winners at 24.6% hit).

🟢 Birdies — bet 291 times. 62 winners (21.3% vs 25.6% expected, odds around 5 to 1). +12.6% return (+0.61u on recommended stakes)

🔴 Pars — bet 40 times. 18 winners (45.0% vs 53.4% expected, odds around 1 to 1). -17.3% return (-0.18u on recommended stakes)

• Hole 11 (par 3) — 22% of the field bogeyed it, 19% birdied it, avg score +0.11 vs par → +67.1% return (+0.51u)
• Hole 13 (par 4) — 23% of the field bogeyed it, 15% birdied it, avg score +0.12 vs par → +87.0% return (+0.33u)
• Hole 12 (par 4) — 5% of the field bogeyed it, 36% birdied it, avg score -0.32 vs par → +35.5% return (+0.31u)

• Hole 1 (par 5) — 8% of the field bogeyed it, 51% birdied it, avg score -0.45 vs par → -70.6% return (-0.25u)
• Hole 18 (par 5) — 20% of the field bogeyed it, 42% birdied it, avg score -0.19 vs par → -41.2% return (-0.19u)
• Hole 3 (par 4) — 16% of the field bogeyed it, 23% birdied it, avg score -0.07 vs par → -89.5% return (-0.15u)

Here's how the Confidence tiers settled this round:

Consensus picks are paying off. Flip the 'Consensus only' filter on the Signals page to focus on what's working.

• ✅ Bridgeman, Jacob — 2/6 picks landed. +286.6% return (+0.27u)
• ✅ Cauley, Bud — 3/10 picks landed. +148.7% return (+0.22u)
• ✅ Tosti, Alejandro — 5/11 picks landed. +92.8% return (+0.22u)
• ❌ Kim, Tom — 1/7 picks landed. -82.4% return (-0.19u)
• ❌ Yu, Kevin — 1/6 picks landed. -82.4% return (-0.19u)
• ❌ Garnett, Brice — 1/10 picks landed. -61.8% return (-0.14u)

• If the Confidence filter held up here, it's worth leaning on at the next event.
• The markets that worked here usually carry into similar courses + conditions.
• The markets that lost may rebound at venues where the course plays differently.

See the Signals page for live picks and use the Confidence filter to focus on the picks the model is steady on.