FedEx St. Jude Championship
Aug 13 – Aug 16, 2026 · TPC Southwind · Memphis, TN, USA
Won by Scottie Scheffler
The FedEx St. Jude Championship has been played at TPC Southwind 5 times since the 2022 season, and the field has averaged 0.86 under par per round there. Winning totals have ranged from 15 under par to 17 under par. Scottie Scheffler won the 2026 edition at 17 under par.
The par-5 16th gives up the most birdies (a 52.1% birdie rate), and the par-4 5th is the hardest hole, with a 25.0% bogey rate. Of this week's field, Scottie Scheffler has the best record here: 2.06 strokes per round better than the field over 18 rounds, including a win.
During the tournament PropGolf models every hole for every player live, with birdie, par and bogey probabilities beside the sportsbook lines and an ETA for each group, plus tee, approach and putting breakdowns from shot tracking at TPC Southwind.
Tournament recap
Up 0.93u using our recommended stake sizes (38.8u risked across 1,286 picks, 566 winners at 44.0% hit).
🟢 Pars — bet 320 times. 206 winners (64.4% vs 67.3% expected, odds around 1 to 1). +6.4% return (+0.90u on recommended stakes)
🟢 Miss the Green picks — bet 120 times. 47 winners (39.2% vs 34.7% expected, odds around 2 to 1). +26.2% return (+0.39u on recommended stakes)
🟢 Hit the Green picks — bet 266 times. 147 winners (55.3% vs 61.2% expected, odds around 2 to 1). +1.9% return (+0.22u on recommended stakes)
🔴 Drive Result — Fairway Under (315.5) Yards — bet 12 times. 2 winners (16.7% vs 38.8% expected, odds around 2 to 1). -36.3% return (-0.14u on recommended stakes)
🔴 Cole, Eric long-shot — bet 4 times. 0 winners (0.0% vs 49.0% expected, odds around 1 to 1). -100.0% return (-0.12u on recommended stakes)
🔴 Birdies — bet 187 times. 31 winners (16.6% vs 21.1% expected, odds around 5 to 1). -4.6% return (-0.09u on recommended stakes)
- Hole 14 (?) — 0% of the field bogeyed it, 0% birdied it → +20.0% return (+0.89u)
- Hole 10 (?) — 0% of the field bogeyed it, 0% birdied it → +30.0% return (+0.54u)
- Hole 1 (?) — 0% of the field bogeyed it, 0% birdied it → +29.5% return (+0.51u)
- Hole 11 (?) — 0% of the field bogeyed it, 0% birdied it → -16.0% return (-0.94u)
- Hole 16 (?) — 0% of the field bogeyed it, 0% birdied it → -7.8% return (-0.25u)
- Hole 5 (?) — 0% of the field bogeyed it, 0% birdied it → -10.8% return (-0.22u)
Here's how the Confidence tiers settled this round:
| Tier | Picks | Hit rate | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🟢 CONSENSUS | 546 | 47.8% | +9.3% |
| 🟡 LEAN | 382 | 46.3% | -3.3% |
Consensus picks are paying off. Flip the 'Consensus only' filter on the Signals page to focus on what's working.
- ✅ English, Harris — 11/16 picks landed. +95.4% return (+0.45u)
- ✅ McCarty, Matt — 12/18 picks landed. +49.7% return (+0.36u)
- ✅ Taylor, Nick — 11/20 picks landed. +57.6% return (+0.36u)
- ❌ Cole, Eric — 4/20 picks landed. -55.0% return (-0.42u)
- ❌ Hisatsune, Ryo — 2/20 picks landed. -77.3% return (-0.29u)
- ❌ Kim, Tom — 8/20 picks landed. -38.0% return (-0.27u)
- If the Confidence filter held up here, it's worth leaning on at the next event.
- The markets that worked here usually carry into similar courses + conditions.
- The markets that lost may rebound at venues where the course plays differently.
See the Signals page for live picks and use the Confidence filter to focus on the picks the model is steady on.
Compiled from shot-level scoring captured during play.
Final leaderboard
Top 10 at the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship, by total score to par.
| Pos | Player | To par |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scottie Scheffler | -17 |
| 2 | Si Woo Kim | -9 |
| T3 | Alex Noren | -8 |
| T3 | Sam Burns | -8 |
| T5 | Wyndham Clark | -7 |
| T5 | Sungjae Im | -7 |
| T7 | Tommy Fleetwood | -6 |
| T7 | Ludvig Aberg | -6 |
| T7 | Jake Knapp | -6 |
| T7 | Hideki Matsuyama | -6 |
Past winners
Every edition PropGolf has on record, by PGA Tour season, with the winning total and the field's average score per round. Where two or more players tied after regulation and the record does not say who took the playoff, all of them are listed.
| Season | Winner | Total | Field / rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Scottie Scheffler | -17 | -0.16 |
| 2025 | Justin Rose · playoff | -16 | -0.88 |
| 2024 | Hideki Matsuyama | -17 | -1.05 |
| 2023 | Playoff: Lucas Glover / Patrick Cantlay | -15 | -1.36 |
| 2022 | Playoff: Will Zalatoris / Sepp Straka | -15 | -0.84 |
| 2021 | Playoff: Cameron Smith / Tony Finau at another course | -20 | -1.19 |
| 2020 | Dustin Johnson at another course | -30 | -1.61 |
| 2019 | Patrick Reed at another course | -16 | -0.75 |
| 2018 | Bryson DeChambeau at another course | -18 | -0.57 |
| 2017 | Playoff: Dustin Johnson / Jordan Spieth at another course | -13 | +0.99 |
| 2016 | Patrick Reed at Bethpage Black | -9 | +0.75 |
Best records here in this week's field
Strokes gained per round against the field across 5 editions. Minimum 8 rounds. Best is the best finish; T1 is a tie after regulation decided in a playoff.
| Player | Starts | Best | SG / rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | 5 | Won | +2.06 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 4 | T3 | +1.70 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 4 | Won | +1.57 |
| Adam Scott | 3 | T5 | +1.25 |
| Viktor Hovland | 5 | T2 | +1.20 |
| Patrick Cantlay | 5 | T1 | +1.15 |
| Bud Cauley | 2 | T12 | +1.11 |
| Sungjae Im | 5 | T5 | +1.05 |
| J.J. Spaun | 4 | 2 | +1.02 |
| Sam Burns | 5 | T3 | +0.95 |
Course at a glance
TPC Southwind historical scoring context, drawn from prior years of PGA Tour rounds at this venue.
Hole-by-hole
| Hole | Par | Yards | Birdie % | Bogey % | Difficulty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 438 | 19.8% | 13.9% | — |
| 2 | 4 | 415 | 25.4% | 11.1% | — |
| 3 | 5 | 579 | 39.0% | 9.3% | — |
| 4 | 3 | 201 | 16.0% | 14.3% | — |
| 5 | 4 | 532 | 9.1% | 25.0% | — |
| 6 | 4 | 452 | 20.4% | 12.2% | — |
| 7 | 4 | 487 | 10.5% | 19.9% | — |
| 8 | 3 | 181 | 17.6% | 12.0% | — |
| 9 | 4 | 462 | 18.5% | 15.3% | — |
| 10 | 4 | 472 | 15.6% | 17.2% | — |
| 11 | 3 | 176 | 18.5% | 8.1% | — |
| 12 | 4 | 407 | 16.8% | 16.3% | — |
| 13 | 4 | 476 | 15.4% | 14.6% | — |
| 14 | 3 | 223 | 12.3% | 13.7% | — |
| 15 | 4 | 402 | 23.3% | 12.6% | — |
| 16 | 5 | 542 | 52.1% | 4.6% | — |
| 17 | 4 | 508 | 11.1% | 20.5% | — |
| 18 | 4 | 454 | 14.1% | 18.7% | — |
Cross-season aggregate from PGA Tour rounds at TPC Southwind. Live current-event rates appear inside the app during play.
What you can do during FedEx St. Jude Championship
- Live signals. Hole-by-hole birdie, bogey, and matchup edges with live odds from DraftKings and FanDuel.
- Shot-level analytics. Tee, approach, and putting breakdowns per player on every hole.
- Group view. H2H matchups, longest drive, nearest the pin, group total markets.
- Live timing. Per-group ETAs update every 5 minutes from real pace data.